Real Estate Marketing Academy

Industry Report: Distressed Home Prices vs. Not Distressed – Morgan Stanley Research


By Colin Ryan


In this report, Morgan Stanley Research lowers their forecast for national home prices, projecting 6-11% declines in major home price indices from Q4 2010 levels based on declining home prices, continued weakness in sales, mortgage-dependent buying and an increase in distressed sales. Morgan Stanley maintains that distressed home prices are outperforming non-distressed prices and will continue to do so. The report also cites issues such as GSE reform, proposed securitization rules, and foreclosure processing settlements as negatively affecting housing in the near to medium term. Graphs provided: normalized home price indices, non-distressed versus aggregate prices, and cash transactions by sale type since September 2010.

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Date Published: April 25, 2011
Pages: 11
Format: PDF

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